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2024-12-13 22:57:52

Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.What is the significance of fiscal and monetary policy adjustment? Expert: The path of "more active and promising" fiscal policy has been clarified. The Central Economic Work Conference, which closed yesterday, pointed out that a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented next year. What kind of signals are released behind these policies? In terms of fiscal policy, the Central Economic Work Conference requested that a more active fiscal policy should be implemented next year, so as to improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance of special bonds for local governments, optimize the structure of fiscal expenditure, and secure the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. Experts said that these requirements clarified the path of "more active and promising" fiscal policy. Focusing on vigorously boosting consumption, the Central Economic Work Conference requires that special actions to boost consumption should be implemented next year, the basic pension for retirees should be appropriately raised, and the "two new" policies (large-scale equipment renewal and trade-in of consumer goods) should be implemented. (CCTV News)Guangdong Electric Power A and others set up enterprise service companies with AI business. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Guangdong Energy Group Enterprise Service Co., Ltd. was established, with the legal representative of Xu Lin and the registered capital of 150 million yuan. Its business scope includes: artificial intelligence basic resources and technology platform; Research and development of intelligent robots; Artificial intelligence industry application system integration services. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is jointly held by Guangdong Electric Power A and others.


From January to October, the national output of photovoltaic polysilicon, silicon wafers, batteries and components all increased by more than 20% year-on-year. According to the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, from January to October 2024, China's photovoltaic industry operated smoothly as a whole. According to the announcement of photovoltaic industry norms, enterprise information and industry associations, the output of photovoltaic polysilicon, silicon wafers, batteries and components in China increased by more than 20% year-on-year, and the export volume of photovoltaic cells increased by more than 40%. In the polysilicon sector, the national output from January to October was about 1.58 million tons, up 39.0% year-on-year. In the silicon wafer link, the national output from January to October was about 608GW, and the export volume was about 53.2GW. In the battery sector, from January to October, the national output of crystalline silicon batteries was about 510GW, and the export volume was about 45.9GW. In terms of components, from January to October, the national output of crystalline silicon components was about 453GW, and the export volume was about 205.9GW.The concept of first-round economy continued to increase the daily limit of more than 10 constituent stocks, and the concept of first-round economy continued to increase in intraday trading. Media games, IP economy, performing arts and travel, and Meta-Universe all rose well. More than 10 constituent stocks such as Aofei Entertainment, Lisheng Sports, Dafeng Industry, Tianxiaxiu, and Roman shares rose by more than 10%.SHIBOR reported 1.4040% overnight, down by 7.80 basis points. In 7 days, SHIBOR reported 1.7580%, up 12.30 basis points. SHIBOR reported 1.7350% in three months, down by 0.50 basis point.


Centeno, Governing Committee of the European Central Bank: Fortunately, yesterday's decision of the European Central Bank was unanimously adopted.From January to October, the national output of photovoltaic polysilicon, silicon wafers, batteries and components all increased by more than 20% year-on-year. According to the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, from January to October 2024, China's photovoltaic industry operated smoothly as a whole. According to the announcement of photovoltaic industry norms, enterprise information and industry associations, the output of photovoltaic polysilicon, silicon wafers, batteries and components in China increased by more than 20% year-on-year, and the export volume of photovoltaic cells increased by more than 40%. In the polysilicon sector, the national output from January to October was about 1.58 million tons, up 39.0% year-on-year. In the silicon wafer link, the national output from January to October was about 608GW, and the export volume was about 53.2GW. In the battery sector, from January to October, the national output of crystalline silicon batteries was about 510GW, and the export volume was about 45.9GW. In terms of components, from January to October, the national output of crystalline silicon components was about 453GW, and the export volume was about 205.9GW.Huaan, AVIC, etc. lined up to enter the ranks of public offering warehousing logistics REITs. According to the announcement of AVIC Fund, the AVIC Yishang warehousing logistics REITs jointly built with ESR Group, the largest new economic real estate management company in the Asia-Pacific region, are being issued. This is the first REIT issued by ESR Group in China, and its infrastructure assets consist of three warehousing and logistics parks, namely, Phase I, Phase II and Phase III of Fulaide Kunshan Logistics Park. According to the data of wind, up to now, Huaxia Fund, harvest fund, Huatai Securities Asset Management, Hongtu Innovation Fund and CICC Fund all have a listed warehousing and logistics REIT, while Huaan Waigaoqiao REIT, which was established on December 12th, has not been listed yet. In addition, Huaxia Fund and southern fund's newly declared warehousing logistics REIT are in the inquiry stage, while Huitianfu's warehousing logistics REIT is in the feedback stage.

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